MLB has 6 matches on Monday, September 14. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:41 | Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox | 1.67 | 2.19 | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| 22:41 | Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 2.70 | 1.46 | 35.1% / 64.9% |
| 23:08 | Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers | 1.73 | 2.11 | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| 23:11 | New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles | 1.77 | 2.04 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 23:41 | Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves | 1.73 | 2.10 | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| 23:41 | Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees | 2.14 | 1.70 | 44.3% / 55.7% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 10 books (BetOnline.ag, GTbets, Unibet (FR), 888sport, Betclic (FR), Winamax (DE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
22:41 UTC · Progressive Field, Cleveland · Season record: Cleveland Guardians 76-74 / Chicago White Sox 76-73
The market leans Cleveland Guardians at 56.7%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 12.2% on the widest side.
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers
22:41 UTC · Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati · Season record: Cincinnati Reds 70-79 / Los Angeles Dodgers 90-59
The market leans Los Angeles Dodgers at 64.9%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 10.0% on the widest side.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
23:08 UTC · Rogers Centre, Toronto · Season record: Toronto Blue Jays 75-75 / Detroit Tigers 70-79
The market leans Toronto Blue Jays at 54.9%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 10.0% on the widest side.
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
23:11 UTC · Citi Field, Queens · Season record: New York Mets 69-80 / Baltimore Orioles 72-78
The market can barely separate them — 53.6% against 46.4%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 13.0% on the widest side.
Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves
23:41 UTC · Wrigley Field, Chicago · Season record: Chicago Cubs 83-66 / Atlanta Braves 88-62
The market leans Chicago Cubs at 54.9%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 9.0% on the widest side.
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees
23:41 UTC · Target Field, Minneapolis · Season record: Minnesota Twins 70-79 / New York Yankees 86-63
The market leans New York Yankees at 55.7%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 12.5% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: 53.6% vs 46.4%.
- Most one-sided — Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: the market gives Los Angeles Dodgers 64.9%.
- Where books disagree most — New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: 13.0% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.4% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers stands out as the most lopsided matchup on the slate, with the Dodgers priced at nearly two-to-one favorites at 64.9% implied probability. This creates the largest gap between any two teams, suggesting bookmakers see a substantial quality differential. The Mets-Orioles pairing shows the widest disagreement among sportsbooks, with a 13% spread between the highest and lowest odds, indicating less consensus around that contest despite the Mets carrying only a modest 53.6% edge.
Across the slate, most matchups cluster tightly around the 45-55% range, reflecting competitive markets. The Guardians-White Sox, Blue Jays-Tigers, Cubs-Braves, and Mets-Orioles all sit within roughly 5 points of a coin flip, while the Yankees game at 55.7% away represents the second-closest contest. Margins between the implied probabilities and bookmaker spreads are remarkably consistent at 5.4-5.5% across most games, suggesting fairly uniform pricing methodology.
The most notable outlier is the Cubs-Braves fixture, where nine books show a 9% spread despite both teams being priced nearly identically in probability terms. This represents the tightest bookmaker agreement relative to the match probability, potentially indicating high confidence in that particular close contest. By contrast, the Mets and Yankees fixtures both generate 12-13% spreads despite competitive implied odds, suggesting material disagreement in how individual books are evaluating those teams.
Prices captured 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC. Odds move.