Jahmyr Gibbs remains the centerpiece of the Detroit Lions’ offense, and with fellow running back David Montgomery dealt to Houston during the offseason, the dynamic playmaker could see an even larger workload heading into his fourth year.
After becoming the highest-paid RB in NFL history, Gibbs headlines the early NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, though Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Taylor are also in the mix after agreeing to new extensions.
Let's dive into the current NFL odds to win OPOY.
- Key Takeaways:
- Gibbs gets the spotlight in Detroit
- Robinson ready for another breakout
- Taylor looks to finish what he started
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds
| Player Name | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 19% |
| Bijan Robinson | 10% |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 10% |
| Puka Nacua | 9% |
| Justin Jefferson | 7% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 5% |
| Jonathan Taylor | 5% |
| Christian McCaffrey | 5% |
| Derrick Henry | 5% |
| James Cook III | 4% |
Odds as of 9-3. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year favorites
Jahmyr Gibbs is coming off a breakout season with the Detroit Lions, topping 1,000 rushing yards while adding more than 500 receiving yards, and he’ll now see even more usage with David Montgomery gone and Isiah Pacheco starting the season on IR.
Bijan Robinson is another name to watch after continuing to establish himself as one of the league’s most complete running backs. With the Atlanta Falcons offering little hope elsewhere, Robinson has the dual-threat ability to rack up another round of video-game numbers.
Jonathan Taylor looked set to run away with OPOY honors last year, as the Indianapolis Colts running back was the odds-on favorite through the first half of the year.
Then came the collapse. The Colts stumbled down the stretch, losing nine of their final 10 regular-season games, which included noticeable dips in Taylor’s production.
Despite the team’s struggles, the Colts’ running back still finished with the second-most rushing yards in the NFL, falling just 26 short of James Cook.
Backed by a stout offensive line and a two-year, $44 million extension, Taylor remains a solid pick heading into a fresh campaign.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures predictions
| Pick | Odds | Pick date | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 5% | Aug. 1 | 1.5 |
Popular NFL futures markets
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NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting trends
• Since this award was first given out in 1972, seven offensive players have claimed this award more than once. However, Jerry Rice is the only receiver to win it multiple times.
• Only five receivers have won OPOY since '72, but four of the five (Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba) have won it in the last six years.
• Among the 52 Offensive Player of the Year winners, 28 were named Most Valuable Player in the same season.
• Running backs have won OPOY the most, with 29, and quarterbacks are second with 20.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year history
Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):
| Year | NFL OPOY Award Winner | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR |
| 2024 | Saquon Barkley | RB |
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | WR |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | RB |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | WR |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray | RB |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning | QB |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson | RB |
| 2011 | Drew Brees | QB |
| 2010 | Tom Brady | QB |
| 2009 | Chris Johnson | RB |
| 2008 | Drew Brees | QB |
| 2007 | Tom Brady | QB |
| 2006 | LaDainian Tomlinson | RB |
| 2005 | Shaun Alexander | RB |
| 2004 | Peyton Manning | QB |
| 2003 | Jamal Lewis | RB |
| 2002 | Priest Holmes | RB |
| 2001 | Marshall Faulk | RB |
| 2000 | Marshall Faulk | RB |