NFL has 13 matches on Sunday, September 20. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers | 2.00 | 1.81 | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| 17:00 | Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints | 1.23 | 4.23 | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| 17:00 | Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings | 1.39 | 2.96 | 68.0% / 32.0% |
| 17:00 | Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals | 1.62 | 2.30 | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| 17:00 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cleveland Browns | 1.22 | 4.29 | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| 17:00 | New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers | 2.66 | 1.48 | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| 17:00 | New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.41 | 2.89 | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| 17:00 | Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles | 3.73 | 1.28 | 25.5% / 74.5% |
| 20:05 | Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 1.67 | 2.19 | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| 20:05 | Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders | 1.30 | 3.55 | 73.3% / 26.7% |
| 20:25 | Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks | 2.79 | 1.44 | 34.0% / 66.0% |
| 20:25 | Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders | 1.49 | 2.63 | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| 20:25 | San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins | 1.10 | 7.20 | 86.8% / 13.2% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Betsson, Nordic Bet, MyBookie.ag, Betclic (FR), William Hill, GTbets). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers
17:00 UTC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta · Season record: Atlanta Falcons 0-1 / Carolina Panthers 0-1
The market can barely separate them — 47.5% against 52.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 17.3% on the widest side.
Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints
17:00 UTC · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore · Season record: Baltimore Ravens 1-0 / New Orleans Saints 0-1
The market leans Baltimore Ravens at 77.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 22.7% on the widest side.
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings
17:00 UTC · Soldier Field, Chicago · Season record: Chicago Bears 1-0 / Minnesota Vikings 1-0
The market leans Chicago Bears at 68.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 16.1% on the widest side.
Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals
17:00 UTC · Reliant Stadium, Houston · Season record: Houston Texans 0-1 / Cincinnati Bengals 1-0
The market leans Houston Texans at 58.6%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 24.4% on the widest side.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cleveland Browns
17:00 UTC · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa · Season record: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-1 / Cleveland Browns 0-1
The market leans Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 77.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 25.3% on the widest side.
New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers
17:00 UTC · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford · Season record: New York Jets 1-0 / Green Bay Packers 0-1
The market leans Green Bay Packers at 64.2%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.8% on the widest side.
New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers
17:00 UTC · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough · Season record: New England Patriots 0-1 / Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0
The market leans New England Patriots at 67.2%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.8% on the widest side.
Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles
17:00 UTC · Nissan Stadium, Nashville · Season record: Tennessee Titans 0-1 / Philadelphia Eagles 1-0
The market leans Philadelphia Eagles at 74.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 21.2% on the widest side.
Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars
20:05 UTC · Empower Field at Mile High, Denver · Season record: Denver Broncos 0-0 / Jacksonville Jaguars 1-0
The market leans Denver Broncos at 56.8%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 13.2% on the widest side.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders
20:05 UTC · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood · Season record: Los Angeles Chargers 0-1 / Las Vegas Raiders 1-0
The market leans Los Angeles Chargers at 73.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.2% on the widest side.
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks
20:25 UTC · State Farm Stadium, Glendale · Season record: Arizona Cardinals 1-0 / Seattle Seahawks 1-0
The market leans Seattle Seahawks at 66.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 14.6% on the widest side.
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders
20:25 UTC · AT&T Stadium, Arlington · Season record: Dallas Cowboys 0-1 / Washington Commanders 0-1
The market leans Dallas Cowboys at 63.9%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 23.3% on the widest side.
San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins
20:25 UTC · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara · Season record: San Francisco 49ers 1-0 / Miami Dolphins 0-1
The market leans San Francisco 49ers at 86.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 46.1% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers: 47.5% vs 52.5%.
- Most one-sided — San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins: the market gives San Francisco 49ers 86.8%.
- Where books disagree most — San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins: 46.1% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.3% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Sunday slate features a clear hierarchy of certainty, with San Francisco the market's most confident pick at 86.8% implied probability, followed by Tampa Bay and Baltimore both around 77–78%. These three matches represent the widest gaps between home and away chances. At the other end, Tennessee at Philadelphia sits furthest in the away team's favour at 74.5%, while Atlanta-Carolina is the closest contest across all thirteen fixtures with the Panthers favoured by just 5 percentage points. Across the entire slate, margin variance is tight—all matches fall between 5.1% and 5.6%—suggesting the market sees this as a relatively balanced week despite those standout confident outcomes.
The largest discrepancies between bookmakers appear in San Francisco's overwhelming favourite status, where the book spread reaches 46.1 percentage points, and Houston-Cincinnati at 24.4%. Tampa Bay and Houston both show wider-than-average disagreement among the 20 books covering them, indicating genuine uncertainty within the market despite the headline favourite pricing. By contrast, Denver-Jacksonville shows the tightest consensus at just 13.2 book spread, followed by Arizona-Seattle at 14.6%, suggesting sportsbooks are more aligned on those matchups even if the home-away split suggests competitive contests.
The 17:00 UTC window clusters nine matches, creating natural competition for attention and action, while the two later slots offer separation. Denver-Jacksonville at 20:05 and the evening 20:25 block featuring Arizona, Dallas, and San Francisco all carry different implied balances. The Sunday slate as a whole leans toward favourites—seven of thirteen matches price the home team above 60%—but the near-parity in Atlanta-Carolina and New York-Green Bay provides structural contrast to the heavily one-sided contests.
Prices captured 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC. Odds move.