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MLB Tuesday, September 8: 3 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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MLB has 3 matches on Tuesday, September 8. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
00:11San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals1.722.1455.5% / 44.5%
01:11Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds1.652.2357.5% / 42.5%
02:06Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays2.651.4835.9% / 64.1%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 19 books (888sport, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Betclic (FR), Winamax (DE), MyBookie.ag). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals

00:11 UTC · Oracle Park, San Francisco · Season record: San Francisco Giants 59-85 / St. Louis Cardinals 72-72

The market leans San Francisco Giants at 55.5%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 8.8% on the widest side.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

01:11 UTC · Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles · Season record: Los Angeles Dodgers 85-57 / Cincinnati Reds 69-74

The market leans Los Angeles Dodgers at 57.5%. Prices come from 13 books, and they differ by 10.5% on the widest side.

Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays

02:06 UTC · Sutter Health Park, Sacramento · Season record: Athletics 57-87 / Toronto Blue Jays 72-72

The market leans Toronto Blue Jays at 64.1%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 18.0% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals: 55.5% vs 44.5%.
  • Most one-sided — Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays: the market gives Toronto Blue Jays 64.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays: 18.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.2% across the slate.

Reading the slate

The Giants-Cardinals matchup is the tightest affair on the slate, with the market pricing San Francisco as modest 55.5% favorites at home. The 4.9% margin separates the two sides most narrowly, and the 8.8% book spread suggests relative consensus among the 17 outlets surveyed. This is essentially a coin-flip contest with a slight home lean, the kind of game where bookmakers feel reasonably confident in their positioning.

The Dodgers-Reds game sits in the middle ground: Los Angeles projects to 57.5% at home, a slightly larger edge than the Giants carry. The 10.5% book spread here is notably wider than San Francisco's, indicating more daylight between individual sportsbooks despite a similar implied probability. With 13 books sampled, the variance in odds may reflect some disagreement on whether this advantage should be larger or smaller. The 5.6% margin is the widest of the three contests.

Toronto's road matchup against Oakland presents the most pronounced disparity. The Blue Jays arrive as 64.1% road favorites—a striking inversion of home-field advantage—while the Athletics sit at just 35.9% despite their home plate. The 18.0% book spread is substantially larger than either of the other two fixtures, and with 19 outlets included, that spread still persists, suggesting genuine disagreement across the market about whether Toronto's edge should be even steeper or whether Oakland deserves better odds.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-09-07 02:56 UTC. Odds move.

MLB Tuesday, September 8: 3 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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