어제는 다시 승리의 흐름으로 돌아왔고 스윕에서 삼진 하나가 부족했지만, 그건 중요하지 않습니다. 목요일 투수 및 MLB 선수 프롭 시장에서 수익을 낼 시간이며, 저는 하루 종일 액션을 준비했습니다.
Kade Anderson은 아직 자신의 삼진 잠재력을 제대로 보여주지 못했지만, 세 번째 선발에서는 시장 라인이 낮게 형성될 수 있습니다. Shane McClanahan은 플레이오프 진출을 위해 짧은 줄에 묶여야 하는 상황이고, 그의 삼진 마켓은 떨어지고 있습니다. 반면 Brandon Young의 행운은 보스턴과의 중요한 시리즈에서 끝날 것 같습니다.
이것이 9월 3일 목요일 제가 가장 좋아하는 투수 프롭입니다.
오늘의 최고 MLB 삼진 프롭 및 선발 투수 픽
| 선수 | 픽 | 배당률 |
|---|---|---|
| Kade Anderson | Over 5.5 strikeouts | <<-105>> |
| Shane McClanahan | Under 4.5 strikeouts | <<+105>> |
| Brandon Young | Under 17.5 outs | <<-125>> |
삼진 프롭: Kade Anderson 5.5 삼진 오버 (-105)
This projects as the best strikeout Over on the board today, with 6.56 Ks projected on 84 pitches, which could be a short pitch count.
The Mariners brought up their 2025 third-overall pick after he struck out 135 Double-A batters across 93 innings this year. This will be Kade Anderson's third start, and he has gone 81 and 85 pitches with eight Ks in each, while getting his best K-rate (K%) matchup today against the Athletics.
The lefty has faced the Cubs and Blue Jays, who are both among the 10 worst K-rate matchups for a pitcher. The A's own the seventh-worst K% against left-handed pitching at 24.6% and the seventh-worst K% on the road at 23.8%.
Anderson could see more than 85 pitches, but he can still get to six punchouts in just 15 outs in this matchup.
The market is respecting the projections and moving toward the Over, with some books as short as -140, closer to the -150 fair price. Anderson is a big reason why this Under 7.5 went on the free MLB picks page this morning.
- 시간: 오후 9시 40분 ET
- 시청 방법: Mariners.TV, NBCSCA
삼진 프롭: Shane McClanahan 4.5 삼진 언더 (+105)
This market is falling for good reason, as Shane McClanahan's leash, recent output, and projections point toward the Under.
The Tampa starter is being handled with baby gloves, as he has gone 80, 74, 57, 49, 71, and 87 pitches since the break while going 1-5 O/U on this strikeout total. The Rays are being careful with the oft-injured lefty and need him healthy for a playoff run.
McClanahan missed all of 2024 and 2025 due to Tommy John surgery and a nerve injury. He last threw 115 innings in 2023 and is already up to 113 innings this year, so it's easy to see why the organization is being cautious with him — especially with the Rays owning the best record in the AL.
THE BAT is projecting 79 pitches and 4.55 Ks today, making this a fair price around -120/-115.
- 시간: 오후 8시 5분 ET
- 시청 방법: Rangers Sports Network, Rays.TV
투수 아웃 프롭: Brandon Young 17.5 아웃 언더 (-125)
Brandon Young has been one of the luckier pitchers in the second half of baseball, with an xERA more than a full point higher than his 3.33 ERA. He is giving up homers and has the worst HR/FB rate in the second half among any starter on today's slate.
Young is also a big part of why Neil Parker is backing the Red Sox on the ML in his Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions.
With Baltimore in a tight playoff race and all but two arms likely unavailable in the bullpen today, any issues could be enough to get the hook for a pitcher who is 50% to the Over since the break and has been on the good side of some luck.
The projection for the right-hander against the No. 2 scoring offense in the second half is 86 pitches and 15.68 outs, which would give bettors value on the Under if/when this number flips to 16.5.
If this gets any shorter on 17.5, I'd suggest waiting for the move to 16.5 and playing that to -110.
- 시간: 오후 7시 15분 ET
- 시청 방법: FOX
- Prop picks: 30-26, +6.52 units