EPL has 1 match on Friday, September 18. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Brentford vs Chelsea | 2.82 | 3.77 | 2.28 | 33.5% / 25.1% / 41.4% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Unibet (FR), MyBookie.ag, 1xBet, Betclic (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Brentford vs Chelsea
19:00 UTC · Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford · Season record: Brentford 1-3-0 / Chelsea 2-1-1
The market can barely separate them — 33.5% against 41.4%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.4% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Brentford vs Chelsea: 33.5% vs 41.4%.
- Most one-sided — Brentford vs Chelsea: the market gives Chelsea 41.4%.
- Where books disagree most — Brentford vs Chelsea: 15.4% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Chelsea are favored away at Brentford, but the market sees this as a competitive match rather than a runaway. The 41.4% implied probability for an away win reflects genuine uncertainty—Chelsea are clear favorites, but Brentford's 33.5% home chance means the bookmakers expect this to be closely contested. The draw probability of 25.1% sits squarely between the two, suggesting neither side is being written off.
The relatively tight booking spread of 15.4% across twenty bookmakers indicates there's broad consensus on how to price this fixture. The 5.8% margin—the proportion of the total probability that goes to the bookmaker rather than bettors—is modest, suggesting a fairly efficient market without dramatic disagreement among operators. This is a match where the numbers across different books are pointing in the same direction.
In terms of the overall slate composition, this single match shows an intermediate level of market conviction: not a blowout, not a coin flip. The 8.0-percentage-point gap between away and home reflects Chelsea's status as favorites, but the gap is small enough that Brentford's home advantage keeps them well in contention in how the market has priced the outcome.
Prices captured 2026-09-13 00:01 UTC. Odds move.