La Liga has 4 matches on Wednesday, September 16. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna | 1.47 | 4.38 | 6.66 | 64.3% / 21.5% / 14.2% |
| 17:00 | Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla | 2.44 | 3.08 | 3.05 | 38.5% / 30.6% / 30.9% |
| 19:30 | Levante vs Athletic Bilbao | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.21 | 29.8% / 27.6% / 42.6% |
| 19:30 | Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander | 1.09 | 11.51 | 22.04 | 87.4% / 8.2% / 4.3% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 19 books (Betclic (FR), Nordic Bet, Betsson, 1xBet, William Hill, Betfair). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna
17:00 UTC · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid · Season record: Atlético Madrid 2-1-1 / CA Osasuna 2-1-1
The market leans Atlético Madrid at 64.3%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 48.6% on the widest side.
Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla
17:00 UTC · Riazor, La Coruña · Season record: Deportivo La Coruña 2-2-0 / Sevilla 2-1-1
The market can barely separate them — 38.5% against 30.9%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 16.4% on the widest side.
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao
19:30 UTC · Estadi Ciutat de València, Manises · Season record: Levante 1-2-1 / Athletic Bilbao 2-0-2
The market leans Athletic Bilbao at 42.6%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 17.7% on the widest side.
Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander
19:30 UTC · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · Season record: Barcelona 4-0-0 / Real Racing Club de Santander 1-1-2
The market leans Barcelona at 87.4%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 153.8% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla: 38.5% vs 30.9%.
- Most one-sided — Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander: the market gives Barcelona 87.4%.
- Where books disagree most — Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander: 153.8% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 6.0% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Wednesday slate features a stark contrast in competitive balance. Barcelona versus Racing Santander is priced as a heavy favorite at 87.4 percent home win probability, creating the widest book spread of the day at 153.8 percentage points. At the other end, Deportivo La Coruña against Sevilla is the tightest matchup, with away odds at 30.9 percent nearly matching home odds at 38.5 percent, leaving just 16.4 percentage points separating the market's top two outcomes. Atlético Madrid versus Osasuna sits comfortably in between at 64.3 percent home implied probability.
The Levante versus Athletic Bilbao pairing shows bookmakers pricing Athletic as clear favorites despite the fixture being played at home for Levante, with away win probability at 42.6 percent against 29.8 percent for the home side. This is the tightest home-favorite matchup on the card by implied odds, suggesting the market sees Athletic's chances as substantially more likely than Levante's despite venue advantage.
Consistency across the 18 to 19 bookmakers is relatively high, with all margins falling between 5.4 and 6.5 percent—suggesting strong agreement on the fundamental pricing. The Deportivo-Sevilla game shows the second-highest margin at 6.2 percent despite its competitive balance, indicating some disagreement even in a closely matched fixture.
Prices captured 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC. Odds move.