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意甲周一,10月19日:2场比赛,赔率和隐含概率

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🌐 Originally written in English· AI translationView original

意甲在10月19日周一有2场比赛。以下是完整赛程,包含博彩公司价格和这些价格在移除利差后所隐含的概率。

赛程和赔率

UTC比赛主队平局客队隐含
16:30蒙扎 vs 卡利亚里2.363.163.1340.0% / 29.9% / 30.1%
18:45帕玛 vs 都灵3.063.042.4730.8% / 31.0% / 38.2%

赔率为小数点形式,取自22家博彩公司的平均值(Pinnacle、Codere (IT)、Unibet (FR)、1xBet、Betclic (FR)、Tipico)。

隐含赔率

消除了博彩公司利差,数值总和为100%。

16:30 UTC

Monza vs Cagliari

Parma vs Torino

18:45 UTC

Parma vs Torino

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Parma vs Torino: 30.8% vs 38.2%.
  • Most one-sided — Monza vs Cagliari: the market gives Monza 40.0%.
  • 纸面上最接近——Parma vs Torino:30.8% vs 38.2%。
  • 分歧最大——Monza vs Cagliari:市场给出Monza 40.0%。

Reading the slate

The Monday slate presents two fixtures with notably different competitive profiles. Monza versus Cagliari emerges as the tightest contest, with the home side favoured at 40% but facing a draw probability of 29.9% and an away win at 30.1%—a spread of just 9.9 percentage points between favourite and underdog. By contrast, Torino enters as clearer favourites at 38.2% against Parma's 30.8%, suggesting the bookmakers see a more pronounced visiting threat. Both matches carry comparable margins around 6%, indicating similar levels of overround across the betting market.

解读赛事

周一的赛程包含两场竞争力差异显著的比赛。Monza对Cagliari是最紧凑的对阵,主队被看好概率为40%,平局概率为29.9%,客队赢球概率为30.1%——热门球队和弱队之间仅相差9.9个百分点。相比之下,Torino作为更明显的热门,概率为38.2%,而Parma为30.8%,这表明博彩公司认为客队的威胁更明显。两场比赛的利差都在6%左右,表明整个博彩市场的overround水平相似。

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

意甲周一,10月19日:2场比赛,赔率和隐含概率

评论 (3)

  • northcompass78

    Torino at 38.2% seems like decent value if they're playing away at Parma with only a 7.4 point gap to the draw.

  • teal631

    Monza-Cagliari being that tight with 9.9 points between favorite and underdog is wild for a home side, makes sense why the books disagree so much there.

  • cobalt_almanac

    Parma draw at 31% seems underpriced given how tight the market thinks this matchup is overall.